How do you show the presidential election is a tie? Over sample Democrats by +11 and ignore the +22 advantage among Independents.
Washington (CNN) – It’s all tied up, according to a new national poll released two days before the presidential election.
And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was tested in the poll.
Forty-nine percent of likely voters questioned say they support the president, with an equal amount saying they back the former Massachusetts governor.
Look at their survey (PDF) numbers and you will see the spin…
Then the magical +11 advantage of Democrats…
A total of 1,010 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. All
respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census
figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, telephone usage and whether respondents own or rent their homes.
Registered voters were asked questions about their likelihood of voting, past voting behavior, and interest in the campaign; based
on answers to those questions, 693 respondents were classified as likely voters. Respondents who reported that they had already
cast an absentee ballot or voted early were automatically classified as likely voters. Among those likely voters, 41% described
themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.
The media and some of the polling agency are skewing the numbers to show the election as being close. A +22 among Independents does not show a close race. If anything Obama should be terrified. How is he tied in a poll where his party is the majority being polled?